Politics
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
63% chance
Sports
Who will win the 2025 Copa Libertadores?
Palmeiras
30%
Flamengo
28%
River Plate
25%
Boca Juniors
17%
$10M Vol.
NBA Champion 2024
Celtics
28%
Nuggets
25%
Bucks
20%
Clippers
15%
$25M Vol.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Winner
Brazil
25%
France
22%
Argentina
20%
England
15%
$30M Vol.
Economy
Fed interest rate by end of 2024?
Above 5.5%
15%
4.5% - 5.5%
35%
3.5% - 4.5%
40%
Below 3.5%
10%
$15M Vol.
Oil price per barrel (WTI) by end of 2024
Above $90
20%
$80-$90
35%
$70-$80
30%
Below $70
15%
$20M Vol.
S&P 500 level by December 2024
Above 5500
25%
5000-5500
35%
4500-5000
30%
Below 4500
10%
$25M Vol.
US recession in 2025?
AI will pass a Turing test by 2030?
Crypto
Bitcoin price by end of 2024
Above $100k
30%
$80k-$100k
35%
$60k-$80k
25%
Below $60k
10%
$45M Vol.
Ethereum price by end of 2024
Above $6k
25%
$5k-$6k
35%
$4k-$5k
30%
Below $4k
10%
$30M Vol.
Solana price by end of 2024
Above $200
28%
$150-$200
32%
$100-$150
25%
Below $100
15%
$25M Vol.
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New Spot ETF approval in 2024?
US to pass comprehensive crypto regulation?
Mentions
Taylor Swift Grammy wins 2024
3 or more
35%
2 wins
40%
1 win
20%
No wins
5%
$15M Vol.
Messi total goals in 2024
Over 30
25%
21-30
35%
11-20
30%
Under 10
10%
$18M Vol.
Deadpool 3 opening weekend
Over $200M
30%
$150M-$200M
40%
$100M-$150M
20%
Under $100M
10%
$20M Vol.
Elon Musk to step down as X CEO?
